Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 8.109531 9.440763 10.874070 12.526397 14.372844 16.366886 18.677203
2025-03-23 6.422426 8.143465 10.118939 12.534929 15.389671 18.634841 22.581060
2025-03-30 5.237830 7.153247 9.475424 12.458328 16.145606 20.510246 26.019609
2025-04-06 4.461246 6.507744 9.110388 12.596648 17.071575 22.546890 29.668787
2025-04-13 3.861096 5.985314 8.806954 12.730332 17.934874 24.486700 33.228199
2025-04-20 3.464058 5.672078 8.720783 13.100289 19.076395 26.782799 37.285420
2025-04-27 3.100343 5.351195 8.575573 13.350700 20.038438 28.853352 41.098395
2025-05-04 2.722097 4.955683 8.275329 13.341104 20.617253 30.411033 44.264707
2025-05-11 2.257789 4.363300 7.622621 12.761006 20.343690 30.779162 45.823556
2025-05-18 1.953734 3.988128 7.255559 12.558191 20.571026 31.812756 48.285988
2025-05-25 1.674661 3.616352 6.853766 12.262018 20.627755 32.586972 50.390119
2025-06-01 1.461004 3.330356 6.559840 12.102813 20.863908 33.604872 52.844674
2025-06-08 1.245642 3.012615 6.184621 11.787863 20.847115 34.258597 54.811566
2025-06-15 1.117886 2.845939 6.051586 11.853248 21.411931 35.772419 58.046956
2025-06-22 0.989278 2.658135 5.861377 11.804536 21.785364 37.003318 60.894016
2025-06-29 0.900688 2.541545 5.788854 11.947703 22.465394 38.709155 64.476973
2025-07-06 0.820284 2.430695 5.715493 12.080496 23.127523 40.400233 68.073568
2025-07-13 0.772581 2.387743 5.768043 12.437403 24.169980 42.702846 72.639188
2025-07-20 0.716868 2.317288 5.758926 12.678572 25.022945 44.728391 76.827138
2025-07-27 0.642684 2.189182 5.620647 12.669743 25.445427 46.081622 80.013206
2025-08-03 0.530402 1.941461 5.207940 12.113285 24.892252 45.855315 80.747578
2025-08-10 0.460941 1.794366 4.993339 11.918795 24.956250 46.614123 83.020483
2025-08-17 0.393782 1.639149 4.743382 11.634756 24.842290 47.070984 84.819396